Quote:
Originally Posted by Oleg
Thank you for illustrating my conclusion so clearly 
The chance does not rise exponentially. It remains 1 in 6. If you roll 2000 1s in a row, the chance of the next roll being a 1 is still 1 in 6 (although I'd say there's also a 95% chance that there is something wrong with your dice  ).
You can, and indeed MUST take each roll as an individual statistic. |
The chances to hit the "1" x times in a row does decrease exponentially.
1x = 1/6
2x = 1/6 * 1/6 = (1/6)^2
3x = 1/6 * 1/6 * 1/6 = (1/6)^3
However, the discussion is silly, skillgains come in waves, as i pointed out before, which especially applies to the more rare ones. And 6 times in a row doesn't mean there were other skillgains in between, at least that's how i read it.
So, could we please stop splicing hairs?