Quote:
Originally Posted by Etopia
Show me 1 ramdom , even basic from a computeur, that produce 30 fail in row on a 40% success average...
Staticaly , what hapen in game is not possible with a true ramdom.
3 or 4 faill in row would be kinda normal... sometime 8 fail in row can happen ... but , i dont think 30 fail in row would be as normal as it is in PE.
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30 fails in a row should happen about once in 20 million tries, so if that is happening very often, it provides good evidence that crafting is not true random.
Your chart and data are actually quite helpful in showing the wide variance to be expected in a relatively small run (50 tries) as opposed to much larger runs where the varience decreases substantially.