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#61 | ||||||
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Dominant
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From The Weather Channel The overall weather pattern is ripe for tropical development as we move into the climatological peak of the hurricane season. Watch the latest hurricane forecast. Tropical Storm Gustav strengthened overnight and continues to show organization. The storm is slamming Jamaica in the Caribbean. Maximum sustained winds are now 70 mph and it may reach hurricane status on early Friday. Interaction with Jamaica may slow any rapid development for awhile, but once Gustav goes back over water watch for rapid intensification. As of 5 p.m. EDT, the center of Gustav was centered about 15 miles east-northeast of Kingston, Jamaica, and was moving to the west at 6 mph. The center of Gustav is likely to track over Jamaica through the night and then clear Jamaica on early Friday and then head for the Caymans. View the Gustav Tracker. Jamaica is experiencing torrential rain and the threat for flash flooding will be high over Jamaica through tonight, along with gusty winds and high surf. Some locations may see from 10 to 20+ inches. This could lead to mudslides and dangerous flooding. Gustav is now moving slowly westward. During the course of the next few days, it will turn to a west-northwest then northwest direction. As we move toward the weekend, Gustav is forecast to intensify after passing over Jamaica. It will likely be at hurricane strength as it approaches the Cayman Islands later Friday and all residents should be preparing now. View the current Hurricane watches and warnings and tropical storm watches and warnings. Gustav is then forecast to enter the Gulf of Mexico over the weekend, and continue tracking northwest or north. It could threaten some part of the US Gulf Coast by Labor Day. View the projected path. There is still some uncertainty regarding Gustav's future strength; which will likely be fine tuned based on what happens today. It is forecast to be a hurricane as it tracks through the Gulf of Mexico; possibly a major one. All interests along the Gulf Coast should pay very close attention to this potentially dangerous storm. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Hanna has developed in the western Atlantic. View the Hanna Tracker. The tropical storm is centered about 260 miles northeast of the Leeward Islands with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. Hanna is forecast to track northwest into the weekend and become a hurricane by Sunday or Monday. Fortunately, at that point, it will be located well northeast of the Bahamas. It does not appear to be of any threat to land in the near future, but Hanna will need to be closely monitored beyond this weekend and during the majority of next week. View the projected path for Hanna. Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, a tropical wave was also located a few hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands. It remains disorganized for now, but it may begin to organize in the next few days. It will continue to be monitored as it moves westward. Another area of strong convection is located in the southern Bay of Campeche. This activity is too close to land for any rapid development. -------------------------------------- Wow, I will need to do a full update on these 2 storms this evening after I get home. Labor Day weekend has been haunted by multiple storms before and I want to look into when and what happened. Here's the projected path links or both storms side by side. http://www.weather.com/maps/news/atl...from=news_maps I will update later tonight, after the 10pm eastern Hurricane Hunter announcement. Start preparing now, both of these storms and the others forming could hit anywhere. If Gustav continues west, then it will hit closer to my area here in Houston, and Hanna has sights for Florida, which really doesn't need it. It's going to be an interesting week next week. Later! Runt |
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__________________
![]() www.Hunters-Extreme.com The 2008 Hurricane Thread What is essential is invisible to the eye. --- The Little Prince |
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#62 | ||||||
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Dominant
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From The Weather Channel
Gustav Now a Major Hurricane Heading for Gulf Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel 10:09 a.m. ET 8/30/2008 Gustav is now a major hurricane (Category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson scale) with 120-mph winds and is heading for western Cuba and the Gulf of Mexico. Watch the latest hurricane forecast. Gustav is moving northwest, away from the Cayman Islands, but heavy rains, flash flooding, strong, damaging winds and battering waves will continue to impact the islands this morning. Conditions should improve this afternoon. As of 8 a.m. EDT, Gustav was centered about 225 miles east-southeast of the western tip of Cuba and moving northwest at 12 mph. This motion will bring deteriorating weather conditions to western Cuba this afternoon with the eye of Gustav passing over or near western Cuba this evening. Additional strengthening is expected as the hurricane approaches Cuba. View the Gustav Tracker. Strong, damaging winds, excessive rainfall, flash flooding, and high seas will slam western Cuba this afternoon and become worse this evening. Rainfall amounts of up to a foot are expected; local amounts of more than 20 inches are possible. Squally weather will reach as far east as central Cuba. View the current Hurricane watches and warnings and tropical storm watches and warnings. The forecast track continues to indicate that Gustav will swirl into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico early tomorrow and then track northwestward reaching the central Gulf Coast by early Tuesday. Gustav will slow as it nears the coast. View the projected path. Squally weather will sweep over the Florida Keys tomorrow with locally heavy rain possible. The outer rainbands of Gustav will begin to impact coastal areas of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and the Florida Panhandle as early as late Sunday, bringing scattered downpours and thunderstorms. Wind, rain and waves will increase significantly through Monday with the worst conditions arriving along the Louisiana coast by Monday night. As Gustav moves inland, it has the potential to produce excessive rainfall and significant flooding over parts of the south-central U. S. through the middle of next week. All interests along the Gulf Coast should pay very close attention to this extremely dangerous storm. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Hanna was centered about 310 miles east of Grand Turk Island as of 5 a.m. EDT. Maximum sustained winds were 50 mph. View the Hanna Tracker. Hanna, being sheared by moderate upper-level winds, remains somewhat disorganized. The forecast, however, calls for Hanna to become a hurricane as these winds decrease during the weekend. The storm is expected to track westward, then west-northwestward today, followed by a turn back toward the west tomorrow. Hanna could become a threat to the Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands sometime tomorrow. View the projected path for Hanna. Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, a tropical wave and broad low pressure area just southwest of the Cape Verde Islands bears close watching. The convection associated with this disturbance has become better organized and a depression could form anytime within the next day or so as the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. ---------------------------------------------------- Well, at least everyone in the path of Gustav will have an extra holiday to prepare. While I'm one to get excited about storms and stuff when they are heading this way. I'm not looking forward to a cat 3 or 4. I hope New Orleans is ready....I hope we are. Be safe everyone! Runt |
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#64 | ||||||
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Dominant
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From The Weather Channel
Evacuations Have Begun Mark Avery, & Kevin Roth Lead Meteorologists, The Weather Channel 9:14 a.m. ET 8/31/2008 Mandatory evacutations out of New Orleans have begun as Hurricane Gustav continues to move toward the Gulf Coast. Watch the latest hurricane forecast. As of 7 a.m. CDT, Gustav was centered about 375 miles southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River, moving northwest at 16 mph. Top winds have dropped to 120 mph, but Gustav is still a dangerous category 3 hurricane. View the Gustav Tracker. Along the northern Gulf Coast, a hurricane warning is in effect from east of Cameron, Louisiana, to the Alabama/Florida border, including Lake Pontchartrain and the City of New Orleans. A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within 24 hours. A tropical storm warning is in effect for the Lower Florida Keys west of Seven Mile Bridge to the Dry Tortugas, and from the Alabama/Florida border east to the Ochlockonee River. A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the next 24 hours. A tropical storm warning and hurricane watch is in effect from Cameron, Louisiana, westward to High Island, Texas. A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the next 36 hours. View the current Hurricane watches and warnings and tropical storm watches and warnings. From the southeast Gulf, the forecast track continues to indicate that Gustav head northwestward reaching the central Gulf Coast Monday afternoon. Gustav will slow as it moves inland, likely unleashing excessive rainfall and devastating flooding. View the projected path. Meanwhile, squally weather and the threat of tornadoes are sweeping over the Florida Keys and will persist through Sunday, spreading northward up the Florida Peninsula as Sunday progresses. The outer rainbands of Gustav will begin impacting coastal areas of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle as early as late Sunday with scattered downpours and thunderstorms. Wind, rain, and waves will increase significantly through Monday with the worst conditions arriving along the Louisiana coast by Monday afternoon. All interests along the Gulf Coast should pay very close attention to this extremely dangerous storm. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Hanna was centered about 155 miles northeast of Grand Turk Island as of 8 a.m. EDT. Maximum sustained winds were 60 mph. View the Hanna Tracker. Hanna, being sheared by moderate upper-level winds, remains somewhat erratic and disorganized. The forecast, however, calls for Hanna to strengthen somewhat as these winds decrease in a couple of days. The storm is expected to track westward to west-northwestward through Monday. Hanna is forecast to become a threat to the southeast Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands late Sunday or Monday and for that reason tropical storm warnings have been issued for those locations. Upon entering the southeastern Bahamas Hanna is forecast to turn back to a northwesterly direction. That means Hanna could pass through most of the Bahamas before making a run at the southeast U.S. coast later in the week. View the projected path for Hanna. Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, a tropical wave and broad low pressure area about 150 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands bears close watching. Although the thunderstorms associated with this system have decreased and are minimal at this time, conditions are still favorable for a tropical depression to form within the next day or so as the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. There is another tropical wave about 930 miles eastn-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands that is being monitored for development. For the latest on the busy tropics, stay tuned to The Weather Channel and for updates here on weather.com. -------------------------------------------- Well, Gustav will be in Lousianna sometime in the next 24 hours. Florida was pounded last night and didn't need it. The storm will likely not affect us here in Houston, but if it stalls, there is no telling what will happen. Please check in when you can Navada. Stay Safe ALL!! Runt |
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Prowler
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It is going to be an interesting September, I think.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ Gustav is now coming to the Ozarks, and Hanna, Ike and Josephine are lining up for the Eastern US. We have many evacuees from Southern LA in our area. We pray that everyone stays safe and dry through this storm season. |
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__________________
![]() "If you lose your sense of humor, it's just not funny anymore."- Wavey Gravey |
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#69 | ||||||
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Dominant
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From The Weather Channel
3 Tropical Storms: Hanna, Ike, Josephine Tim Ballisty, Meteorologist, The Weather Channel 5:00 p.m. ET 9/2/2008 We are nearing the peak of the Atlantic tropical season and the tropics are responding in a big way. Currently there are three tropical storms roaming the Atlantic and one tropical depression lingering over Arkansas and Louisiana. Watch the latest hurricane forecast. Tropical Storm Hanna In the Atlantic over the southern Bahamas, Hanna has finally succumbed to northwesterly shear that has provoked it for more than 24 hours now. Because of the persistent shear, it has temporarily weakened to a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds near 65 mph. It was centered over the southeastern Bahamas about 435 miles southeast of Nassau. Because restrengthening is possible, hurricane warnings are posted for the central and southeast Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands. View the Hanna Tracker. Though in a weakened state, the conventional thinking is that the pesky upper level northwesterly winds will finally begin to diminish on Wednesday. Reorganization and re-intensification of Hanna is anticipated on Wednesday and Thursday however it is difficult to determine at this time how much strength it can attain considering the poor state it is in now. Hanna has been drifting to the southeast today. A turn to the northwest is expected tonight and its forward speed is forecast to increase. View the latest projected path for Hanna. Very heavy rain has been occurring over Haiti and the southeastern Bahamas because of Hanna. The storm is expected to produce 4-8 inches of rain over the southeastern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos islands, and far eastern Cuba. Heavy rain, on the order of 10 to as much as 20 inches, will occur over Hispaniola (still recovering from Fay's rains). The storm already has already churned the ocean waters off the Southeast coast. On Sunday and Monday, numerous rescues by lifeguards were carried out along the beaches of South Carolina, Georgia, and North Carolina all due to the dangerous rip currents. The high rip current threat will last through the week. Coastal residents of Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina should all monitor the track and development of Hanna. By Friday, it may be nearing the Southeast U.S. coast but the projected path and eventual landfall forecast is still fairly uncertain; especially due to the Southeast coast topography. Residents of the Northeastern U.S. should also pay close attention because of the potential for heavy rain coming from Hanna late in the week or during the weekend. Tropical Depression Gustav Although Gustav is now a tropical depression, it is soaking the Ark-La-Tex region; where Arkansas, Texas and Louisiana border each other. Steering currents over the south-central United States have weakened. This has allowed Gustav to slow down and become nearly stationary over northeastern Texas and northwestern Louisiana. This stall or very slow movement will aid in producing large rainfall amounts. The heaviest rain will be focused over northern Louisiana, northeastern Oklahoma, the entire state of Arkansas, and Missouri during the time span from today through Friday. Tropical Storm Ike Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, Tropical Storm Ike, the ninth tropical storm of the season, is strengthening as it heads west. It is located halfway between the Lesser Antilles and Africa. Top winds are now near 65 mph, a healthy tropical storm. Tropical Storm Ike will initially head west or west-northwest over the course of this week. It is forecast to become a hurricane by tonight or early tomorrow morning. You can view the projected path here. View the Ike Tracker. Tropical Storm Josephine A tropical wave that emerged from the African Coast yesterday formed into Tropical Depression 10 earlier today and has already been upgraded to Tropical Storm Josephine. It is located about 125 miles southwest of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands. Top winds are near 50 miles per hour. It is expected to remain well south of the Cape Verde Islands today, moving away from them tonight on a west-northwest track into the open waters of the eastern Atlantic. You can view Josephine's projected path here. Eastern Pacific And lastly, a new tropical storm has formed in the eastern Pacific. Tropical Storm Karina is the 11th named storm of the eastern Pacific hurricane season. Thankfully, it will remain rather weak during its lifespan and gradually drift to the west-northwest battling easterly wind shear. It is solely a marine hazard. For the latest on the busy tropics, stay tuned to The Weather Channel and for updates here on weather.com. ------------------------------------ Wow, what a September it will be, thanks Lars! Yeah, so here we go, 3 storms all on their way here to the US, via the Atantic Ocean. It appears as if Ike is the only threat to the Gulf States, but we'll have to see more of Josephine before anything can be for sure.... Hanna is focusing in on the East Coast.....Be safe Ya'll!! Read through all my above warnings, don't venture out, leave if they tell you to, and no, the Flood waters aren't cool to play in. Update at least once a night or more as Hanna Approaches. |
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#70 | ||||||
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Dominant
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From The Weather Channel
Tropical Storm Hanna and Category Four Ike Chris Dolce, Meteorologist, The Weather Channel 11:09 p.m. ET 9/3/2008 Tropical Storm Hanna continues to reorganize and is now moving a little fast to the north-northwest as of late this evening. Meanwhile, farther east Ike, now the third major hurricane of the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season, continues to strengthen and is now a category 4 storm. Josephine, a tropical storm, is struggling with wind shear in the far eastern Atlantic. Watch the latest hurricane forecast. Tropical Storm Hanna Hanna continues to slowly get better organized, with top sustained winds of 65 mph. Further organization and strengthening of Hanna is anticipated on Thursday, and it may regain hurricane status by Friday. View the Hanna Tracker. Current, all hurricane watches and warnings have been discontinue as of late Wednesday evening, but hurricane watches may need to be posted for parts of the Southeastern Coast of the United States on Thursday. In addition, tropical storm watches and warnings remain in effect for parts of the Bahamas. After heading south yesterday, Tropical Storm Hanna is now heading to the north at a faster pace at 13 mph. Additional increase in forward speed is likely. Hanna will move through all of the Bahamas tonight and Thursday. View the latest projected path for Hanna. Drenching, deadly rains have been occurring over Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas because of Hanna. Flooding rains have already occurred over the Dominican Republic but especially over Haiti which is still recovering from Fay and Gustav's rains. Reports indicate that Hanna's tremendous rainfall has killed at least 25 people in Haiti due to flooding and mudslides. Puerto Rico has also been impacted by Hanna with flooding rains, landslides and high surf. The island continues to be drenched and flood watches are in effect through this evening. The storm already has churned the ocean waters off the Southeast coast. Earlier this week, numerous rescues by lifeguards were carried out along the beaches of South Carolina, Georgia, and North Carolina all due to the dangerous rip currents. The high rip current threat will last through the remainder of the week. Coastal residents of South Carolina and North Carolina should monitor the track and development of Hanna. By Friday afternoon, Tropical Storm or perhaps Hurricane Hanna will be nearing the Southeast U.S. coast. The Weather Channel's and weather.com's projected path takes Hanna's center of circulation towards an eventual landfall close to the South Carolina/North Carolina border. From the Carolinas, Hanna may spread rain and wind up the East Coast of the United States through Saturday. Tropical Depression Gustav The remnants of Gustav are soaking nearly all of Arkansas and portions of Mississippi, eastern Oklahoma, western Tennessee, and much of Missouri as it sits and spins over southwestern Arkansas. Rainfall totals have been tremendous. Here are some selected totals courtesy of the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center: Jigger, La. - 20 inches Larto Lake, La. - 19 inches Near Jonesville, La. - over 17 inches Bude, Miss. - over 11 inches Hamburg, Ark. - over 11 inches West Monroe, La. - over 10 inches Hot Springs, Ark. - nearly 9 inches The flooding rains from Gustav will slide north and east through Missouri and eventually into Illinois; providing a very wet day for the cities of St. Louis and Chicago on Thursday. Hurricane Ike Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, Ike continues to gather strength. It is now a category four hurricane with top winds of 135 mph. Ike is located more than 610 miles northeast of Leeward Islands. Hurricane Ike will trek west-northwest then west during the remainder of the week. Further strengthening is possible over the next few days. Fortunately, there are plenty of days still ahead to track Ike's progress. Residents of the Bahamas should monitor Ike carefully the next several days. At this moment it is too early to tell if Ike would have any impact on the United States. You can view the projected path here. View the Ike Tracker. Tropical Storm Josephine Tropical Storm Josephine is in the far eastern Atlantic. Top winds have decreased to 50 mph. The tropical storm is already feeling the affects of wind shear and the entrainment of dry air into its circulation. Josephine will also begin to encounter cooler ocean waters beginning Friday. These three factors combined (shear, dry air, and cooler waters) will weaken Josephine during the next two days. Josephine will continue to move away from the Cape Verde Islands on a western track but then gradually turn to the west-northwest churning over the open waters of the east-central Atlantic. You can view Josephine's projected path here. For the latest on the busy tropics, stay tuned to The Weather Channel and for updates here on weather.com. ------------------------------- Well, it's going to be crazy for a while. Just a short and sweet update tonight.... Careful to all of you still feeling Gustav....when they said it would bring lots f rain, they weren't kidding. Update tomorrow night or sooner if Hanna moves faster than expected. Stay Safe! |
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